在藏农民工的落户意愿选择的影响因素分析--基于林芝市586户调查数据的实证分析

Analysis of the factors influencing the rural migrants' willingness to settle down in cities of Tibet

依据林芝市586户农民工的实地调查数据,描述了农民工落户意愿的现状,运用二元Logit模型分析了有关影响因素及影响程度。研究结果表明,在林芝务工的农民工整体落户意愿较强。文化程度较高的农民工有较强的落户意愿;工资、集体消费比重、生活习惯、市民交流和政策认知对农民工落户有显著的正向影响;相对于汉族,藏族农民工落户意愿较弱。因而,通过提高农民工收入水平、完善职业教育体制、构建农民工与市民交流平台、妥善解决农民工落户的异质性问题,可以在有效增加城镇人口的同时促进西藏城镇化的健康发展。

This research described the migrants＇ willingness to settle down in cities base on 586 household survey data in Lin Zhi,and analyzes the influence factors and degree by using the binary logit model. The results showed that the willingness of migrants to settle down in cities is very strong. Migrant workers with higher education have higher willingness. Wages,collective consumption,habits public communication and policy perception have significant positive influence on migrant worker＇s settlement. The willingness of Tibetan migrants to settle down in cities is weaker than the Han nationality. So,improving the income level,perfecting vocational education system,building communication platform between residents and migrant workers and solving heterogeneity migrants problems properly will increase urban population effectively,and at the same time,promoting the development of urbanization in Tibet healthy.