“一带一路”背景下的中泰铁路合作:积极影响与潜在风险

Railway Cooperation between China and Thailand under the “Belt and Road Initiative”: Positive Impacts and Potential risk

中泰铁路是我国铁路"走出去"的重要尝试,也是推进我国"一带一路"倡议在湄公河国家实现突破的重点工程和旗舰项目。中泰铁路合作不仅有助于加强中泰经贸关系、促进我国与湄公河国家的互联互通和服务国家战略,也有利于推动泰国陈旧的铁路运输系统更新换代、带动沿线经济的发展,同时还有助于强化泰国在中南半岛及东南亚地区的交通枢纽地位、提升其区域影响力,与泰国国家利益高度契合。历经多年谈判,中泰铁路合作已取得重大进展,但合作过程并非一帆风顺,今后的推进也面临政治、经济、域外等多方面的风险。面对合作中这些潜在的风险因素,我国可以通过坚持"亲、诚、惠、客"的周边外交理念积极发展中泰传统友好关系;做好"一带一路"倡议的国际宣传;创新融资模式,降低合作成本;设立对外基础设施投资管理专门机构等措施来积极加以应对和防范。

Sino-Thai railway is an important going-out attempt for Chinese railways, and also an important flagship project for China to push the ＂Belt and Road Initiative＂ so as to make breakthrough in Mekong countries. Railway cooperation between China and Thailand not only helps strengthen Sino-Thai economic and trade relations, and promotes the interconnection between China and Mekong countries, and serves national strategy, but also helps push Thailand to upgrade its old obsolete railway transportation system so as to drive the economic development along the route. At the same time, the cooperation also contributes to reinforcing Thailand＇s position as a transportation hub in Indo-China Peninsula and Southeast Asia, and boosting its regional influence, which coincides with Thailand＇s national interest. After years of negotiations, railway cooperation between China and Thailand has made significant progress, but the process is not at all plain sailing, and the future advancement is also confronted with various risks in politics, economy and extraterritorial factors. In face of these potential risks in the cooperation, China can actively develop the traditional SinoThai friendship by pursuing a neighborhood diplomacy of amity, sincerity, mutual benefit and inclusiveness, extend the international influence of ＂Belt and Road Initiative＂, innovate new financing models, lower cooperation cost, and take measures such as establishing specialized investment management organizations for foreign infrastructures to prevent and respond to risks.