基于中国SO2排放的环境污染与公共治理研究

Research on the Environmental Pollution and Public Governance Based on China’s SO2 Emissions

基于2000-2012年中国省际面板数据，以STIRPAT模型为基础，采用空间计量方法探索了中国SO2库兹涅茨曲线及其影响因素问题。研究结果表明中国人均SO2排放存在明显的空间自回归效应，区域中西部省份具有高的人均SO2排放，东南沿海省份具有低的人均SO2排放。经济增长与SO2排放存在明显的倒“U”型关系，从而验证了中国SO2库兹涅茨曲线存在。此外，经济增长、第二产业增加能够促进SO2排放的增加，能源强度降低、城镇化能有效降低SO2排放。基于以上实证结论，提出了相应的政策建议。

Based on STIRPAT model and provincial panel data from 2000 to 2012 in China, this paper uses spatial econometric method to explore Kuznets curve of China＇s SO2 and its influential factors. The results show that China＇s per capita SO2 emissions present obvious spatial autoregressive effects. Central and western provinces have high per capita SO2 emissions, and southeast coastal provinces have low per capita SO2 emissions. The relationship between economic growth and SO2 emissions presents inverted an U-shaped trend, thus verifying the existence of SO2 Kuznets curve in China. In addition, economic growth and the second industry can promote the increase of SO2 emissions. Energy intensity and urbanization can effectively reduce the SO2 emissions. Based on the above empirical conclusions, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations.