“一带一路”视角下影响中国产业结构变动的因素——基于省级面板数据的实证分析

Analysis on the Influencing Factors of China Industrial Structure Changing from B&R Perspective——Based on Provincial Panel Data

在经济新常态下,中国经济增长的一个原因是受产业结构的转型和升级无形而有力地推动。本文梳理了产业结构转型升级的文献后,构建了相关计量经济模型,分析了2001~2015年中国产业结构变动的影响因素,并结合实际从"一带一路"建设的视角下分析了实证结果,提出了政策建议。实证研究结果表明:外贸、投资和外资因素对中国产业结构变动的过程具有正向作用;最终消费有负向影响作用;R&D因素影响不明显。

In China＇s new normal,the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure invisible and effective in promoting China＇s economic growth. Based on the relevant theories and literatures on the influencing factors of industrial structure change,this paper constructs the econometric model of influencing factors of industrial structure change,analyzes the influencing factors of China＇s industrial structure change from 2001 to 2015,and combines the actual construction to analysis of the empirical results and policy analysis. The empirical results show that foreign trade,investment and foreign factors have a positive effect on the factors influencing the change of China＇s industrial structure in 31 provinces and cities in China. The final consumption has negative influence and the RD factor is not obvious.