中国旅游产业基础质量与旅游经济发展关系的空间计量分析

SPATIAL ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF INFRASTRUCTURE QUALITY AND TOURISM ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA

构建了衡量目的地旅游产业基础质量的指标体系,在此基础上,分别从全域和局域角度构建了旅游产业基础质量对旅游经济发展的空间计量模型,对两变量之间的关系进行空间计量研究.研究结果表明:全局范围内,我国区域旅游经济发展空间上存在较强的溢出效应,空间滞后变量的影响系数为0.51;旅游产业基础质量对旅游经济发展存在乘数作用,作用系数为1.37.局域范围内,旅游产业基础质量对旅游经济发展存在强乘数作用的省份集中在西部地区,弱影响区域省份集中分布于东北和部分东部沿海省(市),中部和部分东西部省份介于两者之间.在此基础上,提出相应的发展建议.

This study first constructed the index system to measure the overall level of tourism infrastructure in a tourism destination. Then spatial econometric models had been built to measure the spatial relationship between tourism infrastructure and tourism economy. The results showed that, globally, there is a strong spatial spillover effect of regional tourism in our country, and the influence coefficient of spatial lag variable is 0.51. There is multi- plier effect between tourism infrastructure and tourism economy, the interaction coefficient is 1.37. Within local range, there exists strong multiplier effect between tourism infrastructure and tourism economy in west of China and weak impact in northeastern region and some of eastern provinces, while central region and several western and eastern provinces is somewhere in between. On those above basis, some corresponding suggestions had been put for- ward.