青岛国际邮轮母港流行性感冒和诺如病毒胃肠炎输入风险评估

Risk assessment of influenza and norovirus gastroenteritis imported from Qingdao international cruises home port

目的通过对青岛国际邮轮母港流行性感冒和诺如病毒胃肠炎疫情开展风险评估,为制定有效的传染病疫情控制措施提供科学依据。方法采用危险因素评估法、风险矩阵法,对青岛国际邮轮母港流行性感冒和诺如病毒胃肠炎疫情开展风险评估。结果流行性感冒发生可能性为4,发生的风险严重度为4,风险评价评分16,为不可接受风险;诺如病毒胃肠炎发生可能性为4,发生的风险严重度为3,风险评价评分12,为可容忍风险。结论明确了青岛国际邮轮母港流行性感冒和诺如病毒胃肠炎发生的可能性、后果严重性和风险等级,采取针对性措施进行防控。

Objective To evaluate the risk of influenza and norovirus gastroenteritis imported from Qingdao international cruises home port ,and to provide scientific basis for infectious disease control. Methods The methods of risk factors assessment,risk matrix were used for risk assessment. Results The score and severity of influenza occurrence was 4 and 4,respectively. The risk score was 16. The imported risk of influenza was unacceptable. The score and severity of norovirus gastroenteritis was 4 and 3,respectively. The risk score was 12. The imported risk of norovirus gastroenteritis was tolerable. Conclusion It is necessary to know the probability,seriousness and the risk of influenza and norovirus gastroenteritis imported from Qingdao international cruises home port. It should to take target measures for prevention and control