基于灰色关联分析的可再生能源发展态势研究

Research on Renewable Energy Development Based on Grey Relational Analysis

利用灰色系统理论分析方法，根据2010—2015年的发电量统计数据对我国可再生能源的发展态势进行研究．对包括水能、太阳能、风能、生物质能、海洋及地热能、核能等进行关联度分析．分析结果表明，这些因素中，核能及水能是可再生及非化石能源发电量的主要影响因素，生物质能是潜在的发展因素核能、水能及生物质能源的发电量都将呈现增长的趋势，太阳能则对可再生能源系统发电量影响力最小，在未来需加快发展．

Based on the grey system theory, this paper analyzes the relationship between renewable energy, including hydro power, solar energy, wind energy, biomass energy, ocean, geothermal energy and nuclear energy. The analysis results show that nuclear energy and water are the main factors affecting the power generation among these factors. Biomass energy is a potential development factor.Nuclear power, hydropower and biomass power generation will show an increasin~ trend. Sola~ power has the least impact on renewable energy systems,and need to accelerate development in the future.