综合气象指标对燃气负荷的影响

Influence of Comprehensive Meteorological Index on Gas Load

城市燃气负荷受多种因素影响,其中以季节和气象的影响最为明显。因此,以温湿指数、风寒指数、人体舒适度、累积温度作为综合气象指标,研究气象因素对城市燃气负荷的影响,能够为确定合理的面向负荷预测的气象因子处理策略提供理论支撑,同时对正确、全面地认识燃气用气负荷规律,提高负荷预测精度,保证燃气供应系统的经济、安全、可靠运行具有重要意义。

The urban gas load is affected by various factors, and the seasonal and meteorological factors are the most remarkable ones. The effects of on natural gas consumption are investigated by using humidity-temperature index, wind-chill index, human comfort, and cumulative temperature as the comprehensive meteorological indexes. This method can contribute to the reasonable determining of the meteorological factors for gas load forecasting, meanwhile, it is of great significance for fully or correctly understanding the regular pattern of gas load, improving the forecasting accuracy, and ensuring the economic, safe, and reliable operation of the gas supply system.