城市产业承载力评价方法与测度研究

Research on Evaluation Method and Measurement of Urban Industrial Carrying Capacity in China

本文从城市产业承载现状、城市固有禀赋约束以及城市发展潜力三个角度构建了中国城市产业承载力评价指标体系,并对中国288个地级市产业承载力进行了测度。测度结果表明,中国城市产业承载力与城市规模有着较强的关联度,产业承载力较强的核心城市基本上属于通常意义上的大中城市,而大部分中小城市缺乏产业承载力,且发展潜力较弱;从城市群角度来看,＂长三角＂城市群产业承载力最强,京津冀城市群的各城市产业承载力分布不均状况最为严重,＂珠三角＂城市群各城市总体上表现出的产业承载力要逊色于＂长三角＂和京津冀。

This paper constructs an evaluation index system of urban industrial carrying capacity in China, and carries on the measurement of the industrial carrying capacity of 288 cities in China. According to the measure- ment results, we divided the cities into four types, then analyzed and compared them from different scales and different urban agglomerations. The results show that there is a strong relationship between urban industrial carrying capacity and urban size; the core city with strong industrial carrying capacity belongs to medium- large city and most small and medium-sized city with lack of industrial carrying capacity has a weak develop- ment potential ; the industrial carrying capacity of the city group in Yangtze River Deha is the strongest ; there is a serious unequal distribution of industrial calTying capacity in city group of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is the most serious ; the industrial carrying capacity of Pearl River Delta city group is weaker than the city group of Yangtze River Delta and the city group of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.