基于统计模拟法的未来空域窗全航路毁伤概率仿真

The Simulation of Future Airspace Window Kill Probability Based on Statistical Simulating Methods

针对未来空域窗拦截末端反舰导弹基本需求,以典型反舰导弹航路为例,提出了利用未来空域窗射击体制拦截高超声速反舰导弹基本步骤。同时,利用统计模拟法对未来空域窗拦截反舰导弹的毁伤概率进行仿真模拟,并与集火射击条件下的毁伤概率进行对比。仿真实验表明,未来空域窗射击体制相较于集火射击体制毁伤概率较高,该射击体制具有一定有效性。

For the need of future airspace window（FAW） to intercept the terminal anti-ship missile.Taking the typical anti-ship missile as example,this paper proposes basic steps for future airspace window to intercept the terminal anti-ship missile.Then taking use of statistical simulating methods to simulate the kill probability of future airspace window and comparing the probability to the kill probability under the condition of concentrated firing method.The simulation example shows that the kill probability of future airspace window is higher than concentrated firing method.