制度约束与全球价值链地位提升:制度红利的门槛效应

The Analysis of Institutional Constraints and GVC-position Increase:Institutional Dividend Threshold Effect

本文从制度红利非线性特征的视角,采用面板门限模型对39个国家1995-2014年,制度约束与全球价值链地位间的关系进行了研究,并考虑制度发展阶段差异和制度分指标维度差异分别进行了不同门槛阈值的回归。研究发现制度完善对于全球价值链地位提升的推动作用会因为该国所处的制度环境成长阶段差异而呈现显著的门槛效应:(1)制度环境的完善与全球价值链提升之间存在显著正相关关系;(2)在不同制度维度视角下,门槛阈值前后的非线性特征呈现多样化;(3)根据各国发展经验的门槛阈值,中国制度环境正处于推动自身全球价值链提升的"制度红利"阶段。在此基础上,本文提出了深化制度环境建设的政策建议。

Based on the theory of new institutional economics,this paper uses the panel threshold model to study the relationship between institutional constraints and global value chain status in39 countries from 1995 to 2014 from the perspective of the non-linear characteristics of institutional dividend,and considers the institutional growth with the differences of the stage and the system variable variance.The study finds that the promotion of institutional improvement on the promotion of global value chain status has a significant threshold effect because of the different stages of institutional environment growth in the country：（1）There is a positive strong relationship between the improvement of institutional environment and the promotion of global value chain;（2）In the perspective of different institutional dimensions,the non-linear characteristics before and after the threshold are diversified;（3）According to the threshold thresholds of the experience of different countries,the institutional environment of China is in the process of institutional dividend in which the development of its own global value chain is promoted.On this basis,this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to deepen the institutional environment construction.