规避“中等收入陷阱”:经验特征及中国应对之策

Evasion of medium income trap as empirical countermeasures for China

"中等收入陷阱"指一国(经济体)达到中等收入水平以后,因受制于各方面因素(经济、政治和社会发展),其经济发展出现停滞、倒退或较长时期徘徊于中等收入水平区间,难以摆脱由中等收入状态向高收入阶段跨越,为当代世界客观存在的一种现象;阿根廷和智利是陷入和超越"中等收入陷阱"的国家中的两个典型,其经验和教训值得中国借鉴;中国要跨越"中等收入陷阱"应加强供给侧结构性改革,转变经济发展方式,提高全要素生产和技术创新能力,促进收入分配制度调整,推进金融市场发展和金融审慎监管,充分利用和保持"一带一路"经济合作和发展的活力。

This paper analyzes the characteristics of major middle-income economies in which economic,political and social conditions fail to favor their any further growth,so that they fall into middle-income trap of depression or fluctuation.Argentina and Chile are typical of middle-income traps.Moreover,this paper attempts to provide with experiences for China to advance its economy over the middle-income traps through restructuring reforms,increasing total factor productivity,promoting income allocation,improving financial markets system,and maintaining economic cooperation and vitality.