俄罗斯:从进口依赖到进口替代

俄罗斯的进口替代与经济危机密切相关,2014年乌克兰危机后,俄罗斯连续两年出台了反危机计划,试图使进口替代不仅成为反危机计划的一部分,而且成为解决俄罗斯经济结构性矛盾和保障国家安全的发展战略。从目前情况看,俄罗斯经济逐步回暖,2017年经济正增长已没有悬念。进口替代在俄罗斯经济增长中起到了怎样的作用?进口替代与经济危机的关系?进口替代在哪些领域易于推进?进口替代能否肩负起结构性改革的重任?进口替代是权宜之计还是国家长期发展战略?如何评价本轮进口替代的实施效果?俄罗斯进口替代还面临哪些障碍?本刊编辑部特邀请国内外专家学者对上述问题进行深入研讨。

Russia's import substitution is closely related with its economic crisis. After the 2014 Ukraine Crisis,Russia promulgated anti-crisis schemes in two consecutive years in an attempt to resolve the structural conflict of its economy and strengthen state security with import substitution,an integral part of the schemes. Russia's economy is in a trend of gradual rise and its growth rate of 2017 will definitely be a positive figure. We editorial department invited domestic and foreign scholars for a special discussion on the following topics,i. e.,what is the role of import substitution in Russia's economic growth? What is the correlation between import substitution and economic crisis? Which sectors can import substitution be smoothly implemented? Can import substitution play the key role to the mission of Russia's structural reform? Is Russia's import substitution an expedient measure or a long-term strategy for its national development? How to assess the performance of import substitution under implementation? And which obstacles will Russia's import substitution encounter?