中国—中南半岛经济走廊国家全球价值链升级研究

A Study on Global Value Chain Upgrading of China-Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor Countries

利用OECD与WTO联合发布的2015版TIVA数据,在附加值贸易的框架下,测算出中国以及中南半岛各国(新加坡、马来西亚、泰国、越南、柬埔寨)在全球价值链中的分工位置,分析影响中国—中南半岛经济走廊国家全球价值链升级的因素。研究结果表明:更深程度地参与全球价值链、短期内失业率的上升以及高水平的基础设施,都能够显著提升中国—中南半岛经济走廊国家在全球价值链中的分工地位;过高的物质资本形成,过高的政府支出,将会阻碍中国—中南半岛经济走廊国家向价值链的高端地位攀升。

This paper calculate the positions of China-Indochina peninsula economic corridorcountries in global value chain under the frame of additional trade value. Then analyze the influencing factors in value chain upgrading of China-Indochina peninsula economic corridor countries（ Singapore,Malaysia,Thailand,Vietnam and Cambodia）. Data is from the Tiva that released by OECD and WTO in 2015. We come to a conclusion that deeper participation in global value chain,higher unemployment rate in a short period and high-standard infrastructure construction will effectively improve the position of China-Indochina peninsula economic corridor countries in global value chain,while heavy material costs and high government expenditures will obstacle the progress.