中国区域经济均衡发展问题研究:一个新的解释思路

The Balanced Development of China's Regional Economy: A New Interpretation

中国区域发展不平衡问题一直是困扰着中国发展的重大问题,在经济新常态下研究其更具有重大的现实意义。文章站在五大发展理念的研究视角,分别使用全国时序数据和省际面板数据来实证检验五大发展理念对中国区域经济均衡发展产生的影响。得出如下结论:第一,改革开放以来,中国区域经济不均衡程度处于波动下降趋势;第二,从全国时间序列数据来看,创新和协调发展有助于实现中国区域经济的协同发展,而绿色、开放和共享发展会加剧中国区域经济的非均衡程度,这需要在制定相关经济政策时趋利避害;第三,从面板数据出发,五大发展理念对区域经济均衡发展在东中西部的影响与全国基本一致,但是三大区域之间存在着显著的异质性,且力度由大到小依次为中部、西部和东部地区。

The imbalanced development of China＇s region has always been a major issue that has plagued China＇s development. It has even more great practical significance to study it under the new economic normal. The essay is based on the research perspective of the five major development concepts and uses the national time series data and provincial panel data respectively to empirically test the impact of the five major development concepts on the balanced development of China＇s regional economy. Draw the following conclusions： First, since the reform and opening up, China＇s regional economic imbalance in a downward trend in volatility. Second, judging from the national time series data, innovation and coordinated development are conducive to the coordinated development of China＇s regional economy. Green, open and shared development will exacerbate the imbalance in China＇s regional economy. This requires the formulation of relevant economic policies When the advantage and avoid harm. Thirdly, starting from the panel data, the influence of the Five Development Concepts on the balanced development of regional economy in the eastern, central and western regions is basically the same as that of the whole country. However, there are significant heterogeneities among the three major regions, Central, Western and Eastern regions.