规则改革背景下乒乓球三段指标评估法演进与发展趋势研究

Evolution and development tend of three-stage evaluations of table tennis in the context of regulation reform

采用文献资料、专家访谈等方法对三段指标评估法的内涵、科学价值、最新研究成果及应用中存在的问题和发展趋势等进行研究。三段指标评估法自创立伊始,始终在乒乓球技战术分析领域占据主导地位;三段指标评估法的统计指标体系和评估标准亟需修订;2000年以后,以经典三段指标评估法为"始根",乒乓球技战术分析方法开始向着三段指标评估法自身的不断完善、技术使用效能计算方法、技战术博弈理论分析方法、数理模型构建与数据挖掘技术的应用和多种技战术分析方法与多媒体技术的结合五个方面发展演进;并从不断完善三段指标评估法的统计指标体系,科学修订其评估标准,加强其与多媒体技术的耦合,不断深化与其他技战术分析方法的有机结合等方面对其未来发展趋势进行展望。

With the methods of literature research and expert interview, this paper has studied the connotation, scientific value and the latest research results of three-stage evaluations, pointed out the existing,problems and proposed the development strategies. The result shows that the three-stage evaluations have always dominated the field of techniques and tactics analysis since its establish- ment; the statistical indicators system and evaluation standard need to be revised; the analysis meth- ods have developed towards the following five aspects since 2000, including： continuous improve- ment, technique evaluation with effectiveness calculation method, game theory analysis method, mathematical model establishment and the application of data mining technology and a combination of various analysis methods with multimedia technology for technique and tactic evaluation. This pa- per also gives prospects on the development trend from the aspects of improving the statistical indica- tor system, revising its evaluation standard, reinforcing its coupling with multimedia technology and deepening its organic combination with other analysis methods of techniques and tactics.