东道国经济发展、进口市场占有率与中国出口复杂度实证分析

Share of Import Market and Economy Level of Host Country and China's Export Sophistication

采用Hausmann方法对中国在107个国家2003—2015年的出口复杂度进行测量,并通过跨国面板数据检验在东道国进口市场的占有率和其经济发展对中国在当地出口复杂度的促进作用.把这些国家依据人均GDP进一步划分高、中、低三种不同收入层次,建立动态面板数据模型分析认为中国在低收入国家市场上的出口复杂度受到的影响最大.因此,中国出口复杂度的提升除了依靠自身科技实力的提升,也要注重对出口市场尤其是低收入国家的市场开拓.

This paper measures the export sophistication of China in 107 export markets during 2003—2015 with the method of Hausmann,and verifies that China ＇s share in import market and economy level in host country improve China＇s export sophistication by using transnational panel data. Further,we divide these countries into high,middle and low income countries on the basis of Per GDP. And we establish dynamic panel model to find that China＇s export sophistication is most influenced in low income countries. So,improving China＇s export sophistication not only depends on improving technology level but also expanding export market,especially expanding market in low income countries.