我国城镇教育收益率的长期变化特征

The Trend of Return to Education in Urban China

我国城镇教育收益率在2002年以前表现出快速上升的趋势,但此后基本稳定,没有表现出明显的上升特征;女性教育收益率高于男性教育收益率,男性受教育程度高于女性,但性别之间教育程度差异在缩小;教育年限收益率随着工作年限的变化具有阶段性特征,并且在男性和女性之间具有差异性,这种变化特征与教育回报的信号效应、我国劳动力市场转型状况相一致。

By use of the household surveys from 1988 to 2009, this paper estimates the changesof return to education in the two decades and the effects of working experience on the return to edu-cation. The findings indicate,(1) the return rate to education persistently increased before 2002,while almost kept constant from then on;(2) the return rate to education for female is higher thanthose for male;(3) the return rates to education are correlated to the working years, which is differ-ent between male and female, and various at different stages of economic transition.