日本第48届众议院大选综述

Analysis of the 48^(th) General election of the Japanese House of Representatives

2017年10月22日,日本举行了第48届众议院总选举,自民党延续上届选举优势,再度实现了单独过半数,自民、公明两党继续维持众议院三分之二以上多数。此次选举以安倍强势政权遇到危机为背景,执政党抓住在野党竞选能力处于低谷、朝核局势趋于严峻带来的有利时机,利用解散权成功延续了执政时间。选举帮助自民党稳固了政权,但主要在野党在大选中陷于分裂,安倍政策引发的争议也并未消除。选举之后,安倍政权有可能执政至2021年,其修宪议程将稳步推进,经济改革计划加速进行,在外交政策方面则做出一定调整,使之适应新的国际形势。

The 48^th general election of the Japanese House of Representatives took place on Oct. 22^nd, 2017. The Liberal Democratic Party continued its success in the last general election and won the majority by itself. Both the Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party continued to maintain the majority of the two-thirds majority in the House of Representatives. The general election took place when Abe＇s powerful regime and LDP were facing an engraving governing crisis, who used the timing when the opposition parties were unprepared for the election and the public concern of North Korean nuclear weapons were deepened and successfully made to continue their administration. As result, LDP enhanced its administration, while the main opposition party, Democratic and Innovation Party, divided due to contradicting opinions. However, the election did not erase the public controversies caused by LDP policies. After the election, it is possible that a stabilized Abe administration keep ruling until 2021. Abe administration will likely speed up its plan of economic reform, make steady steps in constitutional revision, and adjust its foreign policies according to the changed international landscape.