全球棉花进出口贸易分析及展望

Analysis and Forecast of Global Cotton Import and Export Trade

分析未来10年全球棉花贸易趋势。结合国内外棉花市场的变化趋势,通过回顾我国棉花进口行情,分析美国农业部全球农作物长期展望报告中有关棉花的预测,展望了未来世界棉花市场行情的发展趋势。认为:在假定各种不确定性影响因素变化不大的情况下,随着世界经济的逐渐复苏,在下个10年里,世界棉花行情总体上将会渐渐恢复并稳定增长。

Global cotton trade tendency in the next ten years was analyzed. Combined with the variation trend of domestic and international cotton market, through reviewing China＇s cotton import market, the forecast about tbe global cotton market which included in tile report of global crop long-term outlook from the United States de- partment of agriculture was analyzed. The development trend ot＂ global cotton market in the future was forecas- ted. It is considered that under the assumption that the various uncertain factors of little change, the world cotton market in general will gradually return to steady growth with the gradual recovery of the world economy in the next ten years.