灰色动态预测在环境监测中的应用

Application of Gray Dynamic Prediction in Environmental Monitoring

进行地表水环境质量因子和空气质量因子的等环境因子预测对于整体环境质量的建设和运行,以及国民经济建设的规划具有重要的意义。主要讨论GM(1,1)预测模型及在环境监测中的应用,通过动态地调整实际观测值,实现GM(1,1)的灰色动态预测,从而提高模型的预测精度。

It is of great significance for the construction and operation of overall environmental quality and the planning of national economic construction to carry out environmental factor predictions of surface water environmental quality factor and air quality factor. This paper mainly discusses the GM（1,1） forecasting model and its application in environ mental monitoring. It realizes the gray dynamic prediction of GM（1,1） by dynamically adjusting the actual observed values to improve the prediction accuracy of the model.