福建省港口物流与工业经济发展关系研究

A Study on the Relationship between Port Logistics and Industrial Economic Development in Fujian Province

港口物流与区域经济发展之间关系较为密切,两者相互依存、相互促进。文章以福建省港口物流和工业经济发展为例,通过建立VAR分析模型,并运用Johansen协整检验、Granger检验、脉冲响应分析及方差分解等方法对福建省1990~2015年第二产业总值、交通运输、仓储和邮政业增加值、港口水运的货运量、货物周转量和港口货物吞吐量之间的关系进行了实证分析。最后结合现实状况提出相应的对策和建议,从而促进福建省港口物流与工业经济的协调发展。

Port logistics and regional economic development is more closely related, the two interdependence, mutual promotion. This paper is based on the development of port logistics and industrial economy in Fujian province, establishing the VAR analysis model and using Johansen cointegration test,Granger test, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition to analyze the value of the second industry, transportation, storage and postal industry value, port freight volume,cargo turnover and port cargo throughput in Fujian province from 1990 to 2015. Finally, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward according to the actual situation, so as to promote the coordinated development of port logistics and industrial economy in Fujian province.