城市展览业发展能力测评与分析——长江三角洲城市群实证研究

Evaluation and analysis of the development ability of urban exhibition industry——A case study of urban agglomeration in Yangtze River Delta

展览业是现代城市发展的重要产业,也是城市群发展形成影响力的优势产业,各城市展览业的发展能力因受多种因素影响而差异明显。文章在深入分析各种影响因素的基础上,构建了评价展览业发展能力的指标体系,并运用线性方程编制了测评模型,以长三角城市群为研究范围,对近年来城市群展览业的发展作实证分析。研究显示:展览竞争实力指标的权重最高,表明城市间展览业的发展水平差距明显,且三年来有不断增大的趋势;城市展览业发展能力三年来的综合排名有变化;影响各城市展览业发展能力的主要因素不同,相关产业支持指标不容忽视;城市群展览业的发展能力可划分为三个等级。文章最后根据城市间展览业发展能力的差异,探讨了展览业提升以及区域协调发展的路径。

Exhibition industry is an important industry in the development of modern cities,and it is also an advantage industry that can make the urban agglomeration become more influential and competitive. The exhibition industry of each city in the urban agglomeration is affected by many factors,so it shows different development levels. In this paper,based on the deep analysis of factors that affect exhibition industry development,we construct the evaluation index system,and establish the evaluation model of exhibition industry development ability by using the linear combination method. Taking urban agglomeration in Yangtze River Delta as the research scope,we make the empirical research and the analysis of the exhibition industry development of urban agglomeration in recent years. Results of this study show that the weight of exhibition competition strength index is the highest one,that is to say the disparity of exhibition industry development levels among cities is obvious and has an increasing trend in recent three years; there is a rank change of different cities in the exhibition industry integrated development index in recent three years; the main factors that affect the development ability of each city in the urban agglomeration are different,the relevant industry supportindex cannot be ignored. Development ability among the cities can be divided into three levels. Finally,we specifically discuss the path of the exhibition industry coordinated development of urban agglomeration in Yangtze River Delta.