船舶交通流宏观评价模拟模型的探讨

A Discussion on the Macro Simulation Model of Vessel Traffic Flow

船舶交通流宏观评价模拟是从交通流的整体出发研究交通量的统计规律，它对于航路体系或交通管理系统的评价发挥重大作用，为交通预测、交通规划和交通管理提供科学的决策依据。本文在分析研究航道交通网络的基础上，对建立船舶交通流宏观模拟模型进行了初步的探讨。

Macro simulation model of vessel traffic flow is for the overall survey of therules governing traffic statistics.It is important for the estimation of passage system andtraffic control system and constitutes a base for traffic anticipation,traffic regulationmaking and traffic control.The present article ,starting with an analysis of the networkof vessal traffic,makes an initial study for the establishment of a macro simulation modelof vessel traffic flow.