全球化分工“治愈”了鲍莫尔成本病吗?——以美、中、印三国为例

Did the Global Division of Labor Cure Baumol's Disease?——A Case Study of USA,China and India

鲍莫尔成本病解释了发达国家在20世纪大部分时间里的产业结构变迁与经济增长历程,但是随着20世纪90年代以来全球化分工的深化,鲍莫尔成本病在主要国家的表现已经完全不同于之前。本文以美国、中国和印度为例分析了鲍莫尔病在深度全球化分工时代下的表现,认为鲍莫尔病在开放条件下可以减缓甚至被治愈,全球化分工是鲍莫尔病"病因"与"症状"发生变化的重要原因,即全球化分工使鲍莫尔病爆发的条件及其表现在主要参与分工的国家中已经发生了变化。

Baumol＇s disease can explain the course of industrial structure evolvement and economic growth of developed countries in most time of 20th century, but with the deepening of division of globalization since 1990s, the performances of Baumol＇s disease in the major countries are totally different from before. This article analyzes the performances of Baumol＇s disease in USA, China and India in the era of globalization division of labor. Then the paper finds that Baumol＇s disease can slow or even be cured under open conditions, and global division of labor is the important reason for the change of Baumol＇s disease ＂cause＂ and ＂symptoms＂. In other words, the global division of labor makes outbreak conditions and performance of Baumol＇s disease change in the main participants of the division global division of labor.