中国省域旅游业TFP增长率测算及收敛性分析

The Calculation and Convergence Analysis of TFP Growth Rate of China's Provincial Tourism Industry

本文基于超越对数形式的随机前沿方法,对我国31个省市旅游业的2004-2013年全要素生产率(TFP)增长率进行测算及收敛性检验,并进一步将其分解为技术进步、规模效率及技术效率变化率。研究表明:(1)在样本期内,我国旅游业TFP增长率呈现逐步增加的态势,但是增幅在不断降低。增幅主要来自于技术进步的提升,旅游业并未形成可观的规模经济效应。分区域来看,增幅较大的省市大多来自东部,西部地区相对增幅最慢;(2)旅游业生产效率呈现逐年降低的趋势,且东部最高,西部最低,加强对外开放、交通基础建设、人口集聚等均有利于生产效率的提升;(3)全国旅游业TFP存在趋同现象,不存在俱乐部收敛。

Using the stochastic frontier trans-log form method, the paper calculates the total factor productivity （TFP） of 31 provinces and cities in the tourism industry in China and convergence test from 2004 to 2013, and further decomposed into the rate of technical progress, scale efficiency and technical efficiency change. Research shows that： （1） in the sample period, China＇s tourism industry TFP growth rate showed a gradually increasing trend, but the increase is slowing clown growth, mainly from the technology progress promotion, the whole tourism industry has not formed considerable economies of scale; To see the region, a large increase in most provinces and cities from the East, the western region is relatively slowed; （2） the production effieieney of the tourism industry has been declining, and the highest in eastern, western the lowest, strengthen opening, transportation infrastrueture and population agglomeration are conducive to promote the efficiency of production; （3） overall, the National Tourism Industry TFP exists the phenomenon of convergence, and does not exist club convergence.