一致性特征下综合体停车需求预测方法

A Method for Forecasting Parking Demand of Complex Under Consistent Feature

基于单一建筑功能停车需求一致性特征的分析,采用停车需求高峰比系数对建筑功能停车需求分布趋势进行分时刻描述,提出了单一建筑功能停车需求预测的影响系数修正模型,并基于共享停车理念建立了综合体停车需求预测三步骤模型,且在实际案例中进行了良好的应用.由于采用了分时刻需求分布预测法,综合体停车需求的预测结果信息较为丰富,也为停车设施后期的精细化管理提供了良好的数据支持.

This paper proposes a parking demand forecasting method based on consistent feature in parking demand of buildings with similar functions. First, an ＂influencing factor correction coefficient method＂ is established based on the parking demand generation rate of different buildings nowadays. The parking demand generation rate of buildings can be forecast with different functions in the planning year. Secondly, the parking demand peak ratio is used to describe the daily distribution of buildings, and ＂three-step model of parking demand＂ is established with the concept of shared parking. Finally, the peak parking demand of complex is achieved. This model is applied to a complex project in Shenyang.