矿产资源消费与产业结构演进的研究综述

A review of mineral resource consumption and industrial structure evolution

世界范围来看,新一轮科技革命和工业革命蓬勃兴起,实体经济向绿色化、智能化、服务化转型发展将对全球矿产资源消费总量和结构产生深远的影响,开展世界及中国矿产资源消费总量、结构的变动趋势及其影响因素等相关研究具有重大的理论和现实意义。本文从矿产资源消费对产业结构演进的影响、工业化对矿产资源消费总量和结构变动的作用以及研究方法三个方面对已有研究成果进行了梳理。综述发现已有研究成果对于支撑战略性新兴产业发展的关键稀有金属消费的研究不足,同时忽视了技术创新和环境保护对矿产资源消费的影响。鉴于中国与发达国家的工业化路径不同,今后应强化对后起工业化大国矿产资源消费规律的探索,精准刻画原材料库兹涅兹曲线,科学研判和揭示技术创新和绿色发展对矿产资源消费的影响,从而更好地为新时代矿产资源开发利用战略调整提供理论和实证支撑。

In recent years developed countries implemented the so-called re-industrialization strategy to revitalize their manufacturing industries. As new rounds of technological revolution and industrial revolution boom, green, intelligent and service-oriented industrial transformation will have a profound impact on the total amount and structure of mineral resource consumption. Therefore, it is of great significance to study global and Chinese trends for the total amount, structure and influencing factors of future mineral resource consumption. Based on analysis of the relationship industrialization process and the relationship between mineral resource consumption and industrial upgrading, we organise existing research into three aspects： the influence of the consumption of mineral resources on the evolution of industrial structure; the effect of industrialization on the total consumption and structure of mineral resources; and related research methods. Our review found that current research has paid less enough attention to key rare metal consumption which mainly supports the development of strategic emerging industries, while ignoring the impact of technological innovation and environmental protection on the consumption of mineral resources. In light of different industrialization pathways between China and developed countries, we should intensify the exploration of consumption law for mineral resources of big backward industrialized countries; accurately characterize the Material Kuznets Curve; and scientifically judge and reveal the impact of green development on the consumption structure of mineral resources. These suggestions will provide theoretical and empirical support for the strategic adjustment of exploitation and utilization of mineral resources.