城镇居民信息消费对产业结构影响的实证研究——以重庆市为例

An Empirical Study of the Impact of Urban Residents' Information Consumption on Industrial Structure: Taking Chongqing as An Example

信息消费作为新兴消费方式,对产业结构升级转型存在何种影响,成为亟待研究的课题。文章以重庆市为研究对象,引入产业结构高级化率,先进行协整分析从整体上验证两者之间是否存在均衡关系,再运用投入产出理论,通过诱发系数深入探究信息消费对产业结构升级影响的机理。研究结果显示:重庆市城镇居民信息消费与产业结构高级化率之间整体存在着长期均衡的正向关系,对产业结构转型升级具有推动作用,究其原因是信息消费对第三产业部门和第二产业中的战略性新兴产业部门的生产诱发效果显著高于其他产业,且其对重庆市战略性新兴产业发展的推动作用要高于居民消费。因此,发展城镇居民信息消费更有利于推动产业结构转型升级。

As an emerging consumption pattern,how information consumption influences upgrading and transformation of industrial structure has become an urgent research topic. This paper takes Chongqing as the research object,using the advancing industrial structure as the indicator of upgrading industrial structure. Then,co-integration test is used to verify whether there is a balanced relationship between the information consumption and advancing industrial structure,and production-induced coefficient in the input-output analysis is used to explore the mechanism of influence. Results show that there is a long term equilibrium relationship between the consumption of urban residents and the high rate of industrial structure in Chongqing,and the reason is that the consumption has a great effect on the promotion of the tertiary industrial sectors and the strategic emerging industries of the secondary sectors. Therefore,developing information consumption among urban residents is more conducive to the promotion of upgrading and transformation of industrial structure.