我国城际铁路建设条件指标体系建立及求解

Construction Index System Establishment and Index Solution of Chinese Intercity Railway

为建立我国城际铁路建设条件指标体系,在结合我国城镇化发展及城市群形成背景、对珠三角等区域城际铁路规划建设运营现状调研的基础上,通过技术经济比较,将涉及到资金与客流保障的关键性指标,如地方财政收入、客流需求(近远期)、人口密度、人均GDP归为基本指标;土建工程长期贷款率、城际铁路融资成本、票价率、单位里程10年累积补贴额、单位工程投资归为辅助性指标.在对某条待建城际铁路进行可行性评估时,只有当满足全部基本指标、部分或全部满足辅助性指标时,该条城际铁路才能被纳入可以建设范畴.采用收入支出平衡模型、统计分析和财务分析相结合的方法,得出东部和中西部地区的城际铁路建设条件的具体取值.

In order to establish the condition index system suitable for the construction of intercity railway in China, after analyzing the development of China＇s urbanization and urban agglomeration, researching the existing intercity railways, we establish the intercity railway construction index system. We select the local revenue,passenger demand, population density, per capita GDP as basic indicators; civil engineering long-term loan rate,intercity railway financing cost, fare rate, the unit mileage 10 years cumulative amount of subsidies, unit investment cost are classified as auxiliary indicators. When all the basic indicators, some or all auxiliary indicators are satisfied, the evaluated intercity railway will be considered in the next construction process. Next, we apply the income-expenditure balance model, statistical analysis and financial analysis combined method to calculate the detail value of the indicators.