我国东部地区物流业与新型城镇化时空耦合演化研究

Research on the Spatial-Temporal Coupling Evolution of the Logistics Industry and the New Urbanization in the Eastern Region of China

构建了物流业与新型城镇化发展水平评价指标体系，运用熵值法对2000--2015年东部12个省份的区域物流业与城镇化水平进行评价，揭示了两者的时空演变特征，并利用耦合一协调度模型对各省份两者的耦合协调性进行测度和分析。结果显示：2000--2015年，物流业与城镇化发展水平呈上升趋势，但物流业波动性较大，2012年后城镇化滞后物流业发展已成主流趋势。另外，目前只有上海处于中级协调阶段，北京等7个省份为初级协调，其余4个省份仍处失调阶段，空间分布呈“集中一分布一集聚”状态，总体协调程度不理想，仍需进一步调整改善。

Constructing of the evaluation index system of development of logistics industry and new urbanization, using entropy method to evaluate the level of the regional logistics industry and urbanization in 12 eastern provinces from 2000 to 2015, the paper reveals the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics, and uses coupling harmonious degree model to measure and analyze each province＇s coupling coordination. The results show that： the development level of the logistics industry and the urbanization has increased from 2000 to 2015, while the logistics industry has great volatility. The development of the urbanization lagging behind the logistics industry has become the mainstream trend since 2012. In addition, only Shanghai is in the stage of intermediate coordination now. Beijing and other 7 provinces are primary coordination. The remaining 4 provinces are still at a stage of maladjustment. The spatial distribution is in a state of being ＂centralized, distributed and concentrated＂. The overall coordination level is not ideal, and further adjustments as well as improvements are still needed.