基于因果图和AHP法的高校课程改革风险评价研究

Risk Analysis of Course Reform at Higher institutes Based on Cause-and-Effect Graph and Analytical Hierarchy Process

本文通过绘制高校课程改革风险发生原因因果图,并结合层次分析法,将因果图转换成层次分析结构模型,再通过层次分析法运算规则求得各原因的重要性高低,进而确定影响风险发生的主导原因和次要原因,为风险预防的重点控制和管理提供依据。

This paper makes the cause-and-effect graph of the cause why risk occurs in the process of course reform at higher institutes. And the method of Analytical Hierarchy Process is used to transform the cause-and-effect graph into structural layer model. Then seeking the importance of causes by Analytical Hierarchy Process method, this paper confirms the primary cause and secondary cause why risk occurs, and offers the gist for focal point of controlling and management on risk prevention.