摘要
基于京津冀地区雾霾污染特点,选取人口增长、城市化进程、经济发展、能源消费、交通运输、工业生产、建筑行业、环保投资及城市绿化水平九类驱动因素,运用Step-Wise回归分析方法,得出雾霾驱动因素的最优回归方程,定量分析影响京津冀地区大气质量的主要驱动因素。基于该文回归结果提出雾霾防治对策,包括加快降低区域内燃煤污染、强化机动车尾气治理、实现区域内联合监管及联动执法等。
By selecting nine driving factors,including population growth,urbanization,economic development,energy consumption,transportation,industrial production,building industry,environmental protection investment and urban greening level,this paper analyzed the characteristics of haze pollution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region. On that basis,the optimal regression equation on step-wise multiple linear regression（ SMLR） is applied to quantitatively analyze the main driving factors. Several core prevention and control countermeasures,such as speeding up reducing coal-burning pollution in this region,are put forward based on the regression results above and status quo of the region.
作者
李云燕
王立华
LI Yunyan, WANG Lihua(Institute of Recycling Economy, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, Chin)
出处
《中国发展》
2018年第1期6-12,共7页
China Development
基金
国家社会科学基金研究项目(编号:15BJY059)"基于DPSIR模型框架的京津冀雾霾成因分析及综合治理对策研究"
北京市社科基金项目(编号:14JGB036)"京津冀地区PM2.5污染控制政府绩效评估模式的构建"的阶段性研究成果
