2018年石化产业前景预测与展望

Outlook and Prospect of Petrochemical Industry in 2018

通过对2017年中、美石化产业的发展进行回顾,研究中、美石化产业链的差异,经分析2017年影响石油生产行业、油服行业、炼油与化工行业、储运销售行业及一体化公司业绩的因素,发现美国石化产业链整合度较高,石油巨头业绩突出。对中国2018年石化产业的前景作出预测:在国际油价小幅上涨的走势下,石油生产行业业绩向好;油服行业承压,破局困难;炼化行业保持盈利;储运销售行业业绩弹性小;一体化公司业务结构优化升级,业绩保持稳中有升。

To study the differences ofpetrochemical industry between China and America,we review on the development of petrochemical industry in 2017,and analyze the factors which can impact oil-production industry,oil-service industry,oil refining and chemical industry,storage transportation and sales industry,and integration company in 2017. We find that the petrochemical industry of America are highly integrated and oil giants make outstanding performance. Finally,we make a prediction of the outlook of China＇s petrochemical industry in 2018：under the trend of international oil prices rising slightly,oil-production industry will benefit directly and increase profits; Oil-service industry will be under pressure and be difficult to break through the dilemma; Oil refining and chemical industry will remain profitable; The performance of storage transportation and sales industry may be less flexible; Driven by business structure optimization and upgrading,integration company＇s performance will maintain steady growth.