“石油人民币”之路任重而道远

A long & tough way for Petroleum RMB

石油美元和石油人民币归根结底是货币问题,而不是石油问题。目前,就人民币与美元的国际地位而言,在国际结算货币、国际储备货币、国际融资货币、国际活跃货币和汇率稳定性方面,人民币都远远落后于美元,人民币还不具备挑战美元的能力。因此,"石油人民币"的概念性强于现实性。但是中国应该积极为人民币国际化创造条件,通过增强货币政策的透明度、增强人民币汇率形成的市场化程度和增强人民币的可接受程度等打牢人民币国际化的基础,审时度势,抓住国际政治经济形势变化的有利时机,完成人民币国际化进程。在人民币国际化的道路上,可以选择人民币石油期货作为载体,也可以选择数字人民币、具有垄断性的稀缺资源、其他大宗商品或先进技术作为人民币国际化的"锚定物"。

Essentially, Petrodollar or Petroleum RMB is an currency concerned thing and not an oil-based. At present, comparing RMB to US dollar on the international status, the RMB is far away behind the US dollar from the international settlement currency to the international reserve currency, the international financing currency, the international active currency and the foreign exchange rate stability. So, the RMB is not yet capable of challenging the US dollar. Therefore, the concept of ＂Petroleum RMB＂ is stronger than its reality. Chinese administration should actively create conditions for RMB internationalization and take the opportunity of the change in the international politics and economy field to achieve the goal through enhancing the transparency of monetary policy, strengthening the marketization degree of RMB exchange rate formation and enhancing the acceptability of RMB. On the way to RMB internationalization, China can choose RMB oil futures as the carrier or select such articles as digital RMB, monopoly scarce resources and other commodities or advanced technology as the ＂anchor＂ of RMB internationalization.