摘要
选取经济规模、森林禀赋差异等相关变量,建立时变随机前沿引力模型,对2000—2015年中国进口"21世纪海上丝绸之路"沿线国家木质林产品贸易效率及对其有影响的人为因素做了相关研究。研究表明,中国与东盟国家的进口贸易效率在4个地区中位列第一,而西亚、南亚、中东欧地区则都有待提升。依据影响因素的实证结果,为达到扩大中国与海上丝绸之路沿线国家木质林产品贸易的规模、提高贸易效率的目的,提出了加强国家间合作交流和人才流动、形成人民币贸易交付方式、完善基础配套设施和互联网建设等多个国家层面的建议。
The paper selected import trade volume of wooden forest products from the countries along 21 st-Century Maritime Silk Road to China during 2000 to 2015,economic scale in each country,the differences of forest coverage rate among the countries, and other explaining variables, and then established stochastic frontier gravitational model for calculating trade efficiency and further analyzing the factors affecting the trade efficiency. The research shows that the average trade potential between China and ASEAN countries ranks first in all four regions,and the trade efficiency in other three regions of West Asia,South Asia,and central and eastern Europe need to be improved. With the purpose of increasing the trade scale and boosting the trade efficiency of wooden forest products between China and the countries along 21-Centuary Maritime Silk Road, we made national-level suggestions such as strengthening the exchanges and cooperation as well the flow of talents among countries,forming RMB trade delivery mode,and enhancing infrastructure facilities and Internet construction.
作者
李正红
吴红梅
LI Zheng-hong;WU Hong-mei(School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, 100083 ,P. R. China)
出处
《北京林业大学学报(社会科学版)》
2018年第1期59-65,共7页
Journal of Beijing Forestry University :Social Sciences
关键词
贸易效率
21世纪海上丝绸之路
木质林产品
引力模型
trade efficiency
21st-Century Maritime Silk Road
wooden forest product
gravitational model