河北省蔬菜价格波动影响因素及风险水平分析

Analysis on the Influence Factors and Risk Level of Price Fluctuation of Vegetables in Hebei Province

介绍了河北省蔬菜价格的中长期波动规律,即波动频繁且波动幅度呈增大趋势,并对蔬菜价格波动的影响因素及风险水平进行了详细的阐述,其中影响因素主要包括成本、经济周期、游资炒作、天气、信息不对称等。最后,结合其他农产品对蔬菜价格进行风险评估,发现河北省蔬菜的价格存在较高的风险。

The price fluctuation law of vegetables was introduced, which was that the price of vegetables fluctuated frequently and the amplitude of fluctuation had an increasing tendency. Then, the influence factors and risk level of price fluctuation of vegetables were elaborated in detail and the main influence factors included cost, economic cycle, hot money speculation, weather, information asymmetry and so on. Finally, the risk assessment of vegetables price was made, combining with other agricultural products, and it was found that there was a high risk of vegetables price in Hebei province.