金砖国家服务贸易出口增加值竞争力及影响因素分析

The Comparative Study on the Export Competitiveness and its Influencing Factors of Service Trade Export of BRIC——Based on Domestic Value Added

本文利用国际投入产出表数据,基于服务贸易出口增加值测算结果,对金砖国家服务贸易出口增加值竞争力进行比较,并探究相关影响因素。结果显示,金砖国家服务贸易出口增加值竞争力发展不均衡,印度、俄罗斯服务贸易出口增加值竞争力较强,而中国、巴西尚不具备竞争力;人力资本、人均资本、服务业增加值占GDP的比重以及制度因素等对金砖国家服务贸易总体出口增加值竞争力呈现显著促进作用;分行业视角,劳动密集型服务出口增加值竞争力主要受到人力资本的正向影响,资本密集型服务贸易中人力资本和制度因素影响显著,而人均资本、服务业增加值占GDP比重以及制度因素对知识密集型服务贸易出口增加值竞争力促进作用明显。

This paper calculates the service trade export competitiveness of BRIC based on domestic value added, and analyzes the impacts of export competitiveness by using the input-output table （WlOTs）. The result shows that： BRIC countries＇ service trade export competitiveness is unbalanced; India＇s and Russia＇s have stronger competitiveness, while China and Brazil is not competitive. Human capital, capital per capita, the percentage of service value added in GDP and institutional factors have a significant positive impact on the service trade export competitiveness. Human capital ha Human capital and institutional factors are beneficial to capital-intensive services while capital per capita, percentage of service value added in GDP and institutional factors are good for promoting knowledge-intensive business service export competitiveness.