制度质量对金砖国家制造业价值链地位攀升的影响分析

An Analysis of Impact of Institutional Quality on the Rise of the Value Chain of National Manufacturing Industry

该文采用出口技术复杂度指标作为金砖国家制造业价值链地位的代理变量,实证分析制度质量对金砖国家制造业价值链地位的影响。结果表明:经济、政治和法律三类制度均对金砖国家制造业价值链地位攀升有显著的正向影响;按投入要素区分制造业的回归结果显示,三类制度与金砖国家劳动、资本和技术密集型产业价值链地位提升显著正相关;稳健性检验结果显示,10%分位点上综合制度质量对金砖国家制造业价值链地位攀升影响为负,其他四个分位点上影响为正。此外,劳动力资本、基础设施和市场对外开放程度对金砖国家制造业价值链地位攀升也有很大的拉动作用。因此,金砖各国需进一步完善制度质量水平,努力提升制度环境,并加大生产要素投入,为各国制造业发展打下坚实的基础。

Based on the five-digit data of SITC Rev3 of the United Nations Commodity Trade, this paper uses the method of export technical complexity to measure the status of national diamond manufacturing chain value chain. The trade efficiency, the government efficiency and the laws and regulations are introduced into the econometric model as the agency variables of the economic, political and legal systems respectively, and the influence of the system quality on the status of the RCC national manufacturing value chain is analyzed empirically. The results show that the economic, political and legal systems have significant positive effects on the rising of the value chain of the BRIC manufacturing industry. The return of the manufacturing industry by means of input factors shows that the three types of systems are related to the national labor and capital and the status of technology-intensive industry value chain is in significantly positive correlation; the three types of alternative indicators of the system are taken as the average to calculate the overall system quality. Robustness test results show that in the 10% of the integrated system on the quality of the BRIC countries the impact of the rising value chain of the manufacturing sector is negative and the impact on other four sub-positions is positive. In addition, the labor capital, infrastructure and the opening of the market to the BRIC national manufacturing value chain status are also a great influencing factors.