我国“一带一路”沿线省市酒店业时空演化与联动研究

Study on the Temporal Evolution of the Spatial Structure and Linkage in Hotel Industry in Cities and Provinces along the “One Belt and One Road” in China

以我国"一带一路"沿线18个省市为研究单元,从酒店业的时间序列、空间维度出发,运用核密度估计、最邻近指数等方法分析酒店业空间演化特征、规律及联动机制。结果表明:从时间序列来看,我国酒店业总体发展历经五大发展阶段,不同档次酒店增长形态各异;从空间角度着眼,各省市酒店业空间分布在不同时间段演变特征各异,主要聚集在"21世纪海上丝绸之路"沿海城市带,形成"双核、‘工’字状"空间演变格局;因此,亟需调适酒店产业发展结构与引导城市经济关联,优化完善城市间酒店业经济联系网络,从而实现酒店业空间联动发展。

Taking 18 provinces along the "The Belt and Road" as the research unit,from the time series and spatial dimensions of the hotel industry,this paper analyzes the characteristics and rules of the evolution of the hotel industry and the linkage mechanism by using the methods of nuclear density estimation and nearest neighbor index.The results show that：From a time series point of view,the overall development of China＇ s hotel industry has undergone five major stages of development,different grades of hotel growth patterns vary;from a spatial point of view,the characteristics of evolution in different time periods are different.They mainly gather in the coastal city belt of "21 st-Century Maritime Silk Road" ,forming a spatial evolution pattern of "dual-nuclei and I-shaped" .Therefore,it is urgent to adjust the hotel industry structure and guide the urban economy correlate,optimize and improve the inter-city hotel industry economic network,so as to realize the hotel industry space linkage development.