中国-中南半岛经济走廊建设下的贸易合作研究

结合中国-中南半岛经济走廊建设现状,本文基于扩展的引力模型,利用中国与中南半岛七个国家2000-2015年数据进行实证研究。结果表明:无论从整体层面还是分区域层面,经济规模、人口规模、城市化率对贸易合作都有显著正影响,而陆地接壤反而会起到抑制作用。地理距离在区域1层面(中低等收入国家)对贸易合作有显著负影响,而在整体层面和区域2层面(中高、高等收入国家)却有正向影响。因此,中国应携手中南半岛国家共同发展经济,加强跨境交通网络建设,大力培育外贸新业态以促进贸易合作的顺利开展。

Combined with the present situation of the construction of China-Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor, this paper uses the data of China and Indochina Peninsula countries from 2000 to 2015 for empirical research based on augmented gravity model. It shows that, firstly, the economic scale, population size and urbanization ratio have an obviously positive effect on the trade cooperation, while land bordering inhibits it; secondly, regional distance has a significantly negative effect on trade cooperation at the regional level 1 （lower and middle income countries）, but it has a positive effect on the overall level and at the regional level 2 （upper middle and higher income countries）. Therefore, China and Indochina Peninsula countries should develop the economy together, make great efforts to build cross-border transportation network and cultivate new formats of foreign trade to promote the trade cooperation smoothly.