韩国科学技术预测调查及其对我国的启示

South Korea's Science and Technology Foresight and Its Enlightenment to China

科学技术预测是一个国家决策的基础与前提,是制定科技发展规划的背景材料,也是提高科学技术管理水平的重要手段。韩国科学技术预测起步较晚,却取得了较好的进展。在1994—2016年间,韩国共完成了5次科学技术预测调查,在工作流程、方法和推进体系上都有了长足进步,呈现注重科学技术预测调查推进体系的完整性、注重研究成果的应用、注重发挥领域专家与年轻人的作用等特点。本文在总结上述内容的基础上,提出对我国开展科学技术预测活动的启示。

Science ＆ technology foresight has become the basis and precondition for a country＇s decision making. It is also the background material for developing the science and technology development plan, and also an important way to improve the management level of science and technology. The prediction of science and technology in Korea started relatively late, but it has made good progress. Between 1994 and 2016, South Korea has completed 5 Science ＆ Technology Foresights investigation. The 5 Science ＆ Tech- nology Foresights have made great progress in terms of their work flow, methods and implementation sys- tem. Based on the characteristics of science and technology foresight in Korea,focusing on the complete- ness of science and technology foresight, the application of research results, and the role of experts and young people, this paper puts forward some proposals for the development of science and technology fore- sight activities in China.