基于SIRS模型的矿工不安全行为传播研究

Study on propagation of miner's unsafe behaviors based on SIRS model

从煤矿员工的不安全行为入手,借鉴SIR信息传播模型,并与煤矿安全系统的特点相结合,分析了不安全行为在矿工之间的传播机制。首先,提出了一种煤矿员工不安全行为传播的SIRS模型,并从理论层面证明解的存在性以及稳定性;然后,通过数值模拟对煤矿安全系统的稳定性进行分析,研究了各个参数变化对系统稳态的影响,为煤矿安全的研究提供了一种新思路。

From a start with the unsafe behaviors of the staff in an underground coal mine, in references to the SIR informa- tion propagation model and in combination with the characteristics of the mine safety system, the paper analyzed the propaga- tion mechanism of the unsafe behaviors between the staffs. First the paper provided the SIRS model of the staff unsafe behavior propagation in the coal mine. From the theoretical level, the existence and stability of the system were proved. Then the numerical simulation was applied to the analysis on the stability of the mine safety system and to the study on the each parameter variation affected to the system stability. Thus a new idea was provided to the study on the mine safety.