摘要
预测是规划的基础,预测水平的高低将直接影响到规划成果的质量。传统运营商无线通信需求预测有用户数与信息总量的业务总量预测,还包括用户分布规律预测、业务流量流向预测等,可利用经济学和统计学中二元离散选择模型、广义线性回归模型、基于时间序列分析的预测模型进行关键数据指标的预测,推测出近远期无线通信的网络效应和规模。
Prediction is the basic of planning, and the level of prediction will directly affect the quality of the planning results.The traditional operators' prediction for wireless communication demand includes the total amount prediction of users and the total amount of information, and also includes the prediction of the distribution law of users, the service flow direction, and so on. Trough using the binary discrete selection mode,generalized linear regression mode, prediction model based on time series analysis of economics and statistics to predict the key data indexes, and the network effect and the scale of the wireless communication in the near and long term can be speculated.
作者
陈冠军
李鹏
CHEN Guan-jun;LI Peng(Jiangsu Post and Telecommunications Planning and Design Institute Co, Ltd., Nanjing 210019,China)
出处
《中小企业管理与科技》
2018年第13期173-174,共2页
Management & Technology of SME
关键词
无线网络
通信
预测
wireless network
communication
prediction