“一带一路”背景下中印经济增长模式比较研究

A Comparative Study of the Economic Growth Models Between China and India Under the Background of “The Belt and Road”

"一带一路"倡议以寻求与沿线国家和地区更多的经济合作和交流为目标。因地理位置和地缘经济等因素,印度是"一带一路"沿线上的重要国家。中国和印度均属于发展中国家,两国的经济在过去二三十年一直保持较快增长,但是增长方式却不尽相同。运用面板数据回归分析方法,从混合模型和个体固定效应模型两个角度研究,发现中国和印度的就业人员数、物质资本存量与经济增长存在显著正向相关关系,印度的政府支出规模和对外开放程度与经济增长的关系较为模糊,中国的政府支出规模和对外开放程度与经济增长呈正相关关系,并对中国和印度的经济增长模式进行比较。研究结果可以对中国和印度经济增长模式进行合理解释,并在此基础上分析"一带一路"倡议对中印两国经济增长方式带来的影响。

＂The Belt and Road＂ as a development was put forward by China in the new period. It is based on the ancient Silk Road to seek more economic cooperation and exchanges with countries and regions along the route. India plays a very important role in the ＂Belt and Road＂ China and India, both developing countries, have maintained rapid economic growth over the past two or three decades. However, the growth pattern is different. This paper uses panel data regression method to study the number of employed people, physical capital stock, initial employment personnel from the perspective of mixed model and individual fixed effect model. The impact of the scale of government expenditure and the degree of opening to the outside world on the economic growth of China and India is compared. The results of the research can ex- plain the economic growth patterns of China and India reasonably. On this basis, this paper analyzes the impact of ＂the Belt and Road＂on the economic growth mode of China and India.