子女数量对城镇居民消费满意度的影响机理研究

Numbers of Children Reduce the Consumption Satisfaction of Urban Residents

全面两孩政策实施后,许多地区城镇居民的二孩生育意愿难言乐观,不少居民担心生育二孩会降低生活品质。消费满意度是衡量家庭生活品质的重要指标,那么,子女数量的增加是否会降低城镇居民消费满意度?理论分析表明,子女数量对城镇居民消费满意度存在正向和负向两类作用机制,子女数量的增加并不必然导致城镇居民消费满意度下降。基于不同发达程度地区802份城镇居民问卷调查的实证分析发现,单纯的家庭子女数量对城镇居民消费满意度的影响在统计上并不显著,但子女抚养负担却会显著降低城镇居民消费满意度。为此,必须采取综合配套措施,通过降低家庭的子女抚养负担激发城镇居民的二孩生育意愿。

Although the universal two-child policy has been implemented,urban residents＇ willingness and behavior to have a second child are not optimistic,because many residents worry that having two children will lower their living standards. As consumer satisfaction is an important subjective indicator of family living standards,will the increasing number of children decrease the consumer satisfaction of urban residents？ In this article,the theoretical analysis showed that the number of children both has positive and negative influence machine on the consumer satisfaction. The increasing number of children does not necessarily lead to urban residents＇ consumer satisfaction decrease. Based on the empirical analysis of the 801 urban residents＇ survey in different developed areas,it founds that the number of family children has statistically insignificant effect on urban residents＇ consumer satisfaction,but the childcare burden will significantly reduce the urban residents＇ consumer satisfaction. To this end,comprehensive measures must be taken to inspire urban residents＇ willingness and behavior to have a second child by reducing the burden of raising the children.