“一带一路”倡议的国际经济学逻辑

The Theoretical Foundation for the Belt and Road Initiatives

"一带一路"倡议已成为我国未来新时代全面开放和建立更高层次开放型经济的重要内容,亦将在该地区构造经济发展和繁荣的新动能,进而成为我国乃至全世界经济发展的新引擎。从国际经济学角度看,"一带一路"倡议可以有效应对战后全球经济版图比较优势的复杂变化以及适应新的国际分工动力机制;从我国经济发展的角度看,既是我国全面开放过程中适应比较优势动态变化和新旧动能转化的战略需要,也是市场多元化战略的延伸。"一带一路"倡议的顺利实施需要正确识别沿线国家的地缘政治风险、经济文化多元性和复杂性,认真分析基础设施的投资回报率及安全性,同时应防止全球治理复杂而深刻的变革可能带来的国际和地区经济规则不同程度的缺位。

The Belt ＆ Road Initiatives have become an important part of building China＇s open economy at a higher level and fulfilling full liberalization in the new era. They will also become a new kinetic momentum to promote economic development and common prosperity in the relevant areas and a new engine for economic growth in both China and the world. From the perspective of international economics, with the help of the ＂B＆R＂ initiatives, China can adapt to the complicated evolutions of comparative advantages in the world economy and the new power mechanism of international division of labor. Besides, they meet the strategic demand of the new and old kinetic momentum conversion during the process of full liberalization. The ＂B＆R＂ initiatives expand the market diversification strategy of China＇s foreign trade. In order to implement the ＂B＆R＂ initiatives smoothly, we need to realize the threats and risks originating from global governance and geopolitics and analyze the safety and the rate of return on investment in infrastructures.