经济新常态视域下新旧技术“S型曲线”分析

An Analysis of New and Old Technology “S-curve” in the Perspective of the New Normal of Economy

新旧技术"S型曲线"具有周期性、现实性、长期性和差异性等多种特征。这一曲线的演变曾对西方国家产生过重要影响,从西方国家史实中能够发现诸多对经济新常态下中国的启示。从西方国家这些情况与中国当前情况的对比之中能够发现:经济新常态下的中国在新旧技术"S型曲线"演变过程中面临诸多问题,有效破解这些问题有助于推动中国经济在稳定中实现中高速增长。

New and old technology ＂S-curve＂ has many characteristics, such as periodicity, reality and variation. The evolution of this curve has had an important impact on western countries. We can find much enlightenment to China under the new normal of economy from the historical facts of western countries. It can be found in comparison with Chinese current situation that China is faced with many problems in the evolution of new and old technology ＂S-curve＂. To solve these problems effectively will help China＇s economy to achieve medium-high growth in stability.