摘要
基于前景理论,提出前景价值影响股票收益的研究假设,运用2006-2016年定向增发的相关数据,实证检验前景价值对增发股票收益的预测能力。结果表明:在定向增发实施前,投资者对定增股票的前景价值估值为负,且对股票收益有负向影响,当前景价值较高或收益较低时,前景价值对股票收益的预测能力相对较强,投资者和监管部门可运用前景价值作为决策变量,制定其投资组合方案和监管政策。
Under the framework of the prospect theory,we provide the hypothesis that the prospect value can have an impact on the stock return.By using the data of seasoned equity offering from 2006 to 2016 in China's stock market,we construct the empirical study to examine the influencing factors of stock return.The empirical results show that the investors have a negative evaluation on the stock before the seasoned equity offering is implemented.Meanwhile,the prospect value has a negative impact on the stock return,and this relationship is significant when the prospect value is relatively high or the return is low.Thus,the investors and supervisors can take the prospect value as the decision indicator to manage the investment portfolio and make supervision policies.
作者
罗长青
李梦真
张琦
LUO Changqing;LI Mengzhen;ZHANG Qi(College of Finance,Hunan University of Commerce,Changsha,Hunan 410205,China;Mobile E-business Collaborative Innovation Center of Hunan Province,Hunan University of Commerce,Changsha,Hunan 410205,China)
出处
《财经理论与实践》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第3期62-67,共6页
The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目(71503078)
国家社会科学基金重点项目(17ATJ005)
湖南省自然科学基金项目(14JJ3129)
湖南省科技创新团队(开放经济条件下金融风险度量
控制与政策)
湖南省普通高等学校哲学社会科学重点研究基地(区域金融创新研究基地)资助
湖南省研究生科研创新项目(CX2016B656
CX2017B750)
关键词
前景价值
股票收益
分位数回归
定向增发
prospect valuel stock return
quantile regression
seasoned equity offering