摘要
为探究瓜达尔港对中国进口原油海上运输的影响,本文基于连通可靠性和运输成本,建立了瓜达尔港通航后的中国进口原油海运路径选择的不确定双目标规划模型。研究表明运输成本和连通可靠性的不同权衡会带来不同的路径选择,瓜达尔港的运营风险和接卸能力也会影响路径选择,进而提出了提升瓜达尔港在原油运输中作用的措施建议。
In order to investigate the effect of the Gwadar Port on the maritime transportation network of China＇ s imported crude oil, the uncertain bi-objective programming model for path selection of maritime transportation of China＇ s imported crude oil after the navigation of Gwadar Port is established in this paper, which is based on connectivity reliability and transportation cost. The results show that different trade-offs between transportation cost and connectivity lead to different path selection results, and the risks of operation at Gwadar Port as well as the loading and unloading capacity of Gwadar Port also affect the path selection. And then policy implications are put forward to enhance the role of Gwadar Port in the transportation of crude oil.
作者
王爽
吕靖
李晶
WANG Shuang1,2, LV Jing1 , LI Jing1(1. College of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China; 2. Collaborative Innovation Center for Transport Studies, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Chin)
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2018年第5期15-24,共10页
China Soft Science
基金
国家自然科学基金项目:国际海运通道安全评价研究(71473023)
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金:海上丝绸之路非传统安全威胁治理模式研究(16YJAZH030)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(3132016359)
辽宁省高等教育内涵发展专项资金(协同创新中心)(20110117402)
关键词
瓜达尔港
中国进口原油
连通可靠性
不确定理论
海运路径选择
Gwadar Port
China＇ s imported crude oil
connectivity reliability
uncertainty theory
path selection of maritime transportation
